Service Plays Friday 7/30/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Ervin Santana (9-7, 3.55 ERA), Los Angeles Angels

The Angels can’t seem to make up any ground on the division-leading Rangers. Taking advantage of solid performances from their starting hurlers would certainly help out. Ervin Santana is enjoying a fantastic July with a 2.30 ERA, but the Halos are just 1-3 in his four starts this month.

Santana, who sometimes has a habit of getting taken out of the park, has surrendered just two big flies in the 31 1/3 innings this month. Not surprisingly, the under is 4-0 in his last four outings and 7-3 in his last 10 trips to the bump.

Wade Davis (8-9, 4.32 ERA), Tampa Bay Rays

Davis, sometimes forgotten in TB’s stacked five-man rotation, is 3-0 in his last three starts with a 2.11 ERA. The under is 7-1 in the 24-year-old righty’s last eight starts.

Johnny Cueto (10-2, 3.18 ERA), Cincinnati Reds

It seems like we’re praising Cueto every five days in this space. He pitched eight innings of shut-out ball in his last start improving to 4-0 in his last six appearances.

“I went out there today just concentrating on my location more,” Cueto told reporters through a translator. “I wanted to make sure I did not go out there and over throw. I just feel better and better every time I go out there.”

The Reds are 13-7 in games started by Cueto, but they’ve never been priced higher than -174 with him on the bump.


Slumping

Phil Hughes (12-3, 4.04 ERA), New York Yankees

You wouldn’t be able to tell Phil Hughes was slumping if you just looked at the win-loss column. The Georgia native is 2-2 in his last five starts despite owning a 6.52 ERA over the same period.

The over is also 10-2 in his last 12 appearances.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals (150, 8)

The Phillies will start newly acquired righthander Roy Oswalt in this one, but that's not the pitching matchup that matters.

The have absolutely crushed Craig Stammen in their previous two meetings this season, cranking out a combined 16 hits and 11 earned runs in just 6 1/3 innings.

That's an ERA of 15.63 - a number that more closely resembles the Redskins' average points per game than a Nationals pitcher's earned-run average.

And it's not just Philly that's rocking his world. After being sent back to the minors to work on his mental game, Stammen is 0-2 in July, allowing 25 hits and 15 earned runs in 19 2/3 innings.

Not exactly big-league numbers, but with Stephen Strasburg becoming Washington's fifth starter on the DL this season, it's all hands on deck for the shorthanded Nats.

"It's not anything physical," Stammen said of his recent struggles on the mound. "It's how I'm thinking out there, a little bit, and sticking to the game plan little more - having conviction with my pitches."

The Phillies are not the team to face if you're short on confidence these days. They have won seven straight and outscored opponents by a combined score of 43-15 during that span. Look for their surging lineup to be slammin' Stammen.

Pick: Phillies


Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies (-125, 9)

The Rockies have been struggling to score runs lately, tallying a total of just 17 during their current eight-game losing streak.

They will need more offense than that against the Cubs, who have pounded lefthanded starter Jeff Francis like a drum to the tune of an 8.77 ERA in five meetings.

The Cubbies have been hitting southpaws at a .333 clip in their last 10 and look to do some more damage at hitter-friendly Coors Field.

They trot out righthander Ryan Dempster, who is 2-0 since the All-Star break, 2-0 against the NL West this year and 2-0 in his last two meetings with the Rockies.

Pick: Cubs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Los Angeles Sparks at New York Liberty (-8, 149.5)

The Liberty are making a push towards the WNBA postseason, winning five of their last seven games including a 77-72 win over the San Antonio Silver Stars Tuesday night.

Veteran guard Cappie Pondexter had a rough outing for New York, scoring 13 points on just 4-of-12 shooting, but received a huge lift from the bench. The reserves combined for 41 points with Plenette Pierson dropping 16 points and Kalana Greene adding 17 points in the victory.

"That's what I try to do every time I step on the floor," Greene told the New York Post. "I feel like if I'm not being productive the minute I'm in, there's no use in me playing. Tonight I did a little bit more than I usually do."

The Liberty have won the past two meetings with the Sparks and are 7-3 in the teams’ past 10 matchups, posting an identical 7-3 mark against the spread. New York trumped Los Angeles 80-68 as 2.5-point road underdogs earlier this season.

Pick: New York


Chicago Sky at Seattle Storm (-8.5, 147)

One of the worst teams in the WNBA visits perhaps its greatest team ever Friday night. The Chicago Sky, who are last in the Eastern Conference, come to the Emerald City to play the 21-2 Seattle Storm.

While Chicago sits in the basement of the East, it has played inspired basketball in recent weeks. The Sky are 4-2 in their last six outings, but more importantly they are 5-1 against the spread in that span. Three of those paydays have come on the road, improving Chicago to 9-2-1 ATS in the role of visitor this season.

On the other hand, Seattle has been an ATS bust when compared to its dominance this season. The Storm are 13-8-2 ATS, failing to cover in four of their last six games heading into Friday. Seattle came back from an 18-point halftime deficit to beat the Phoenix Mercury 91-85 Tuesday, failing to cover the 7.5-point spread.

Chicago has won its last three meetings with Seattle, covering as an underdog in each game. The Sky recently knocked off the Storm, 84-75, as 2-point home favorites back on May 27.

Pick: Chicago

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL

FRIDAY, JULY 30

Game 413-414: BC at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 110.637; Edmonton 109.197
Dunkel Line: BC by 1 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 1; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (+1); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 5 Analysis and predictions

Friday

B.C. Lions at Edmonton Eskimos (-1, 53)

The Eskimos are again in a must-win situation after losing four in a row. Their president Rick LeLacheur warned that heads would roll if they didn’t start winning soon.

The Eskimos should play like their lives depend on it at home against a B.C. team that must rely on backup Travis Lulay under center. But echoes from their dressing room are suggesting they already developed bad habits in practices.

After a short stint with the Alouettes, former Eskimo Kevin Challenger stated that Marc Trestman gets more work done in an hour practice than Richie Hall gets from his Edmonton team in a two hour session. That says a lot.

You can argue that the Eskimos are a much better team than their 0-4 record tells. But, even with Lulay at QB, the Lions just have a better team. Expect them to pound the turf relentlessly against the worst rushing defence in the CFL with the likes of Jamal Robertson and Jamal Lee.

The Eskimos hoped to be part of the Grey Cup they will host in November. Now it looks like they won’t even be in the playoff picture.

Pick: B.C.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' best friend: Friday's wagering tips

Lines off the board

Brewers at Astros: The line and total were taken down after Astros' scheduled starter Roy Oswalt was traded to the Phillies. The Astros have not yet named his replacement.

Lines to keep an eye on

Phillies at Nationals: Phillies opened as -140 favorites but are now at -170 after it was announced that newly acquired pitcher Roy Oswalt will start. The total also dropped from 9 to 8.

Lions at Eskimos (CFL): Total opened at 55 but has dipped to 53.

Sky at Storm (WNBA): Storm opened as -9.5 favorite but have dropped to -8.5. Total opened at 148 but has slipped to 147.

Silver Stars at Shock (WNBA): Stars opened as 3-point faves but have been bet up to 3.5. Total opened at 162.5 and has fallen to 161.

Sparks at Liberty (WNBA): Total opened at 151 but has dropped to 149.5.

Dream at Sun (WNBA): Total opened at 171.5 but has skyrocketed to as high as 175 at some books.

Mystics at Fever (WNBA): Total opened at 143.5 but has climbed as high as 144.5 at some books.

Weather to watch

Cubs at Rockies: 50 percent chance of thunderstorms.

A's at White Sox: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Orioles at Royals: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Pirates at Cardinals: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Who's hot

Twins have won seven of their last eight.

Phillies have won seven in a row.

Rays have won six in a row.

Giants have won six of their last seven.

Blue Jays have won five of their last six.

Who's not

Rockies have lost eight in a row.

Orioles have lost seven of their last eight.

Tigers have lost six of their last seven.

Diamondbacks have lost six in a row.

Royals have lost six of their last seven.

Angels have lost six of their last seven.

Key stat

7 - Number of Washington Nationals' starting pitchers currently on the disabled list. Rookie phenom Stephen Strasburg became the latest to hit the shelf on Thursday, joining Jason Marquis, J.D. Martin, Luis Atilano, Garrett Mock, Chein Ming Wang and Jordan Zimmerman on the DL.

Injury that shouldn't be overlooked

Tampa Bay Rays outfielder Ben Zobrist left Wednesday's game against the Detroit Tigers with back stiffness and his return is questionable. Zobrist was filling in for B.J. Upton, who missed his second straight game with a sprained left ankle. That could leave the Rays short on depth in the outfield in their weekend series with the Yankees. Zobrist is batting .272 for the year, with six home runs and 47 RBIs. Upton, who is batting .227 with eight home runs and 35 RBIs, will try to start Friday.

Game of the day

Yankees at Rays (-100, 9)

Notable quotable

"I'm a realist. I said, 'Hey, man, I'm not going to make no big spectacle about it. You've got a bigger legacy and a number than I do. I've been on several teams like you, but I've changed my number several times. You've had the same number. I don't need your money.' "

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Antonio Bryant about giving new teammate Terrell Owens his No. 81 jersey number. Bryant did ask T.O. for a donation to his youth football program in Miami.

Tips and notes

The San Diego Padres have reportedly acquired veteran infielder Miguel Tejada from the Baltimore Orioles. This will be a big boost for the Padres, who have managed to hang on to the NL West lead despite offensive stats that ranks in the lower third of the majors. Tejada, who hit .269 with seven home runs and 39 RBIs with the Orioles, will replace Everth Cabrera, who is batting just .201 with one homer and 21 RBIs.

NASCAR star Jeff Gordon will have a new spotter on his team this weekend at Pocono Raceway. Hendrick Motorsports hired Jeff Dickerson, who left Kyle Busch's team last week, to communicate with Gordon on the radio during the race. Dickerson replaces Shannon McGlamery, Gordon's spotter since 2007. This subtle move could be key for Gordon, who hasn't won a race this season but is second in the points standings. A new set of eyes and ears on the other end of the radio could help him finally find his way to victory lane.

Ole Miss was expected to have a down year after junior quarterback Jevan Snead jumped to the NFL only to go undrafted. Rebel fans may forgive him now that former Oregon quarterback Jeremiah Masoli plans to enroll this fall and potentially play for the Rebels this season. Masoli was kicked off the Ducks in June for repeated run-ins with the law but has good marks academically and plans to enroll in a graduate program at Ole Miss. If he chooses a program that isn't offered at Oregon, he could be eligible to play for the Rebels immediately. Masoli had 3,891 yards and 28 touchdowns in two seasons for the Ducks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher 7/30

NYM (-135) over ARI

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Greek Sports Picks

Bonus Plays:
Cleveland +163
Texas +122

One of the premium Picks, MLB Locks:
Cincy+133

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Friday, July 30

Hot pitchers
-- Oswalt had 2.88 RA in his last four Houston starts; Astros scored a total of four runs in his last six outings.
-- Cueto is 4-1, 1.16 in his last seven starts. Braves won Medlen's last five road starts, scoring 35 runs.
-- Carpenter is 2-0, 1.96 in his last three starts.
-- Happ was 1-0, 2.35 in his three starts for Philly this season.
-- Lincecum is 2-0, 2.51 in his last four starts.

-- Marcum is 2-0, 2.53 in his last couple starts.
-- WDavis is 3-0, 2.11 in his last three starts.
-- Anderson comes off DL to start; he is 2-1, 2.64 in six starts.
-- ESantana has a 1.57 RA in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Stammen is 0-2, 6.86 in his last four starts.
-- Pelfrey is 0-3, 10.53 in his last five starts. Kennedy is 0-3, 6.50 in his last three road starts.
-- Dempster has a 6.00 RA in his last five starts. Francis has 6.05 RA in his last four home starts.
-- Parra is 0-2, 9.92 in his last three starts.
-- Karstens is 0-4, 5.77 in his last six starts.
-- Volstad is 0-2, 6.66 in his last five starts. LeBlanc is 1-4, 4.25 in his last six outings.
-- Monasterios is 0-2, 7.71 in his last three starts.

-- Masterson is 0-2, 7.33 in his last four starts.
-- Lester is 0-2, 5.17 in his last couple starts; Red Sox won seven of his last eight home outings. Galarraga is 0-2, 5.76 in his last four starts.
-- Hughes has a 6.21 RA in his last eight starts; Bronx scored 6+ runs in 13 of his 18 starts (14-4).
-- Arrieta is 0-1, 9.64 in his last couple starts. O'Sullivan is 1-1, 5.73 in two starts this year, but both were against Bronx.
-- LHudson is 1-1, 6.32 in three starts for Chicago.
-- Fister is 0-5, 5.33 in his last nine starts. Baker is 2-2, 4.63 in his last four home starts.
-- Feldman is 0-3, 6.43 in his last six starts.

Totals
-- Under is 11-4-2 in last seventeen Oswalt starts.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Medlen starts.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in Mets' last nine games.
-- Four of last five Parra starts went over the total.
-- Four of last five Karstens road starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 10-5 in last fifteen games at Coors Field.
-- Six of last eight Volstad starts went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in Dodgers' last eight games.

-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Cleveland games.
-- Under is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Detroit games.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Hughes starts.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Kansas City home games.
-- Four of last five White Sox home games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Seattle road games went over the total.
-- Last four ESantana starts stayed under the total.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won last eight games, outscoring foes 46-17.
-- Astros are 9-5 in their last 14 home games.
-- Cardinals won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Padres won 10 of their last twelve games. Marlins won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Giants won 17 of their last 22 games.

-- Blue Jays won their last five games, scoring 30 runs.
-- Rays won ten of their last eleven home games. Bronx won 17 of its last 22 games.
-- A's are 10-4 in last 14 games; White Sox are 18-1 in their last nineteen home games.
-- Twins won their last five games, scoring 53 runs.
-- Rangers are 10-4 in their last 14 games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona is 4-24 in its last 28 road games. Mets are 4-10 since the All-Star break.
-- Reds are 7-5 in last 12 games, scoring 6+ runs in all seven wins, less than six in all five losses.
-- Nationals lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Braves are 6-9 in their last 15 road games.
-- Brewers lost 15 of their last 20 road games.
-- Pirates are 4-22 in last 26 road games.
-- Rockies lost 12 of their last 15 games. Cubs lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Dodgers scored a total of 14 runs in their last eight games.

-- Indians lost five of their last six games.
-- Tigers lost 13 of their last 16 games. Red Sox lost four of their last five home games.
-- Royals lost 14 of their last 17 games. Orioles lost 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Mariners lost 21 of their last 26 games.
-- Angels lost seven of their last eight games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Phillies Thursday night.

Friday it's the A's. The profit is 65 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo felt the flow with the Metamucils yesterday in the Big Citi as they somehow managed to overcome the brilliant machinations of Tony The Genius and cut the deficit to 1,080 geronimos.

Tonight, speaking of machinations, Mr. Aitch is figuring on the Big Red Machine to menace Los Bravos -- 10 units on Cueto. Also, Erma Lee, who's no relation to Sarah, looks like she could be worth jumping on in the sixth at Saratoga -- five units to win.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
487 - 360 run 58 %

Bonus Play FRI Blue Jays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Padres -135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Joker's Bet of the Day:
Back Spartak Nalchik at 1.9 to beat Amkar Perm

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

"Bulgarian Paid service"

Drogheda United v Bray Wanderer:bet on Drogheda@1,75

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ProTipster

Date Country League Event Our pick
30.07.2010 Belgium Jupiler League ST. Liege - Waregem St. Liege
30.07.2010 Romania Liga 1 Otelul - Pandurii Otelul
30.07.2010 Romania Liga 1 Vaslui - Targu Mures Vaslui

SAM Picks

No selections

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

YourProLocks 7/30
MLB

50 DIME Toronto Blue Jays (-175)
50 DIME Tampa Bay Rays (-105)
50 DIME St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-150)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

808 sports picks

Free Pick Minnesota 8.5 Over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Moneylineking

St.Louis -1,5 RL
to win 5 units